Liverpool vs Southampton: Why the Reds Are Set to Dominate the EFL Cup Tie

Match preview – what’s at stake?

Tuesday night at Anfield promises a classic underdog story, but the odds are wildly in Liverpool’s favour. The Reds sit atop the Premier League with a perfect 15 points from five matches, while Southampton are languishing in 19th place in the Championship with a meagre six points. Both clubs entered the EFL Cup eager to add silverware, yet the form gap is stark.

For Liverpool, this is another chance to keep their early‑season momentum rolling. Six straight wins across all competitions and an unbeaten run of nine games at home (seven wins, two draws) underline a squad that feels almost untouchable at Anfield. Southampton, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency away from home, slipping up in nine of their last eleven road fixtures. The contrast in confidence levels alone makes this tie feel like a one‑sided affair.

Key factors – head‑to‑head history, line‑ups and betting angles

Historically, the numbers are unforgiving for the Saints. Out of 123 meetings since February 1902, Liverpool have won 65, Southampton only 31, with 26 draws. More telling is the recent Anfield record: eight consecutive victories for the Reds, the last non‑win being a 0‑0 draw in May 2017.

Current form adds another layer. Liverpool’s attacking trio have been involved in three‑goal games in three of their last five outings, while Southampton have featured in high‑scoring contests in four of their last five. Expect fireworks, but the firework display will likely be dominated by Liverpool’s firepower.

Liverpool vs Southampton is also shaping up as a betting playground. Bookmakers are pricing Liverpool to win by at least two goals, with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score hovering around the most popular markets. Experts are tossing out scorelines like 3‑1, 4‑1, or even 5‑2, reflecting the belief that Southampton can snag a consolation strike but won’t threaten the result.

Team news could tip the balance further. Liverpool boss Arne Slot is expected to rotate, resting big names such as Virgil van Dijk, Mohamed Salah, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, and Ibrahima Konaté. The predicted line‑up reads:

  • Goalkeeper: Mamardashvili
  • Defence: Frimpong, Leoni, Gomez, Robertson
  • Midfield: Nyoni, Endo
  • Attack: Ngumoha, Jones, Chiesa, Isak
Even without their usual stars, Liverpool’s depth ensures quality on the ball.

Southampton’s situation looks cleaner. No major injuries have been confirmed, though Flynn Downes is doubtful with an illness. Their likely XI could be:

  • Goalkeeper: McCarthy
  • Defence: Edwards, Wood, Stephens
  • Midfield: Fraser, Downes (if fit), Charles
The Saints will rely on a compact, counter‑attacking approach, hoping to exploit any space left by Liverpool’s rotated back‑line.

From a tactical perspective, Liverpool will probably dominate possession, using the width of Frimpong and Leoni to stretch Southampton’s defence. Endo’s passing range and Nyoni’s box‑to‑box work will provide a platform for the front four to make runs. For Southampton, shielding the back four and looking for quick transitions through Downes or Fraser will be key. Their best chance may come from set‑pieces, where the physical presence of Wood and Stephens could cause trouble.

Fans are already buzzing on social media, debating whether the Reds will field a full‑strength side or treat the fixture as a squad‑rotation exercise. The consensus leans toward a comfortable win, with a few goals from the bench adding to the scoreline.

To sum up the betting picture: expect Liverpool to win, the total goals market to stay over 2.5, and both teams to find the net. If you’re looking for a risk‑free bet, backing Liverpool at ‘double‑chance’ (win or draw) is virtually a certainty, while a correct score of 4‑1 offers attractive odds for the daring.